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Trump says hope not when asked if US will go to war with Iran



US President Donald Trump (L) greets Switzerland’s President Ueli Maurer before a meeting at the White House on May 16, 2019, in Washington, DC.

Brendan Smialowski | AFP | Getty Images

President Donald Trump said “hope not” when he was asked Thursday if the United States is going to war with Iran.

That answer to a reporter’s question during a photo opportunity at the White House with Swiss President Ueli Maurer came amid growing concern about a conflict between the U.S. and Iran.

Meanwhile, members of Congress blasted the Trump administration for being left in the dark about details about the situation with Iran — and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Trump lacks authority to declare war on Iran.

“The responsibility in the Congress is for Congress to declare war,” said Pelosi, D-Calif.

“So I hope the president’s advisors recognize that they have no authorization to go forward in any way. They cannot call the authorization, AUMF, the authorization for the use of military force, that was passed in 2001, as any authorization to go forward in the Middle East now,” she said.

“I like what I hear from the president that he has no appetite for this,” she added. “One of the places that I agree with the president is that both of us in our opposition to the war in Iraq and I hope the same attitude will prevail with the president of the United States even though some of his supporters are rattling sabers.”

The Trump administration has sent an aircraft carrier strike group and bombers to the Middle East in response to what it has characterized “troubling and escalatory indications and warnings” from Iran.

Those indications include a purported threat from Iran against U.S. diplomatic posts in Iraq, as well as worry that Iran is setting the stage to place rocket launchers on ships in the Persian Gulf.

On Wednesday, the U.S. State Department ordered nonemergency government employees to leave the American embassy in Baghdad and the consulate in Erbil.

Sen. Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn., a member of the Armed Services Committee, told reporters Thursday: “The American people have been kept in the dark. It is disgraceful and despicable that we’re on the verge of war, and the American people are given this kind of confused and chaotic picture of what the situation is on the ground.”

Blumenthal said hat he and other senators have heard that “we are supposedly going to have a briefing on Tuesday” from the Trump administration about the Iran situation.

But, Blumenthal added, “we’re hearing it may be too late because hostilities may have begun or there may be an escalation on the military situation.”

That would be “petrifying,” he said.

Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Ill., evoked the Vietnam War in his criticism of the administration’s Iran planning.

“Literally. I don’t know if someone in the White House is waiting for a Gulf of Tonkin moment here to initiate military action against Iran,” Durbin said, referring to the purported attack by North Vietnam on an American naval vessel in 1964, which has been viewed as a bogus pretext by President Lyndon Johnson to escalate U.S. involvement in Vietnam.

“That would be a serious mistake, and under our Constitution, this president has to seek the authority to do from Congress,” Durbin said.

New York Democratic Rep. Eliot Engel, chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said “the administration should give us a classified briefing as soon as possible.”

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Three Russians, one Ukrainian accused of 2014 downing of flight MH17



Three Russians and a Ukrainian will face murder charges for the July 2014 downing of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 over eastern Ukraine in which 298 people were killed, in a trial to start in the Netherlands next March, an investigation team said on Wednesday.

The suspects are likely to be tried in absentia, however, as the Netherlands has said Russia has not cooperated with the investigation and is not expected to hand anyone over.

Ukrainian rescue servicemen look through the wreckage of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 on July 20, 2014 in Grabovo, Ukraine.

Rob Stothard | Getty Images

The Dutch-led international team tasked with assigning criminal responsibility for the plane’s destruction named the four suspects as Russians Sergey Dubinsky, Oleg Pulatov and Igor Girkin, and Ukrainian Leonid Kharchenko.

It said international arrest warrants for the four have been issued. MH17 was shot out of the sky on July 17, 2014, over territory held by pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine as it was flying from Amsterdam to the Malaysian capital Kuala Lumpur. Everyone on board was killed.

Most of those on board were Dutch. The joint investigation team formed by Australia, Belgium, Malaysia, the Netherlands and Ukraine found that the plane was shot down by a Russian missile.

Last year Russian President Vladimir Putin called MH17’s downing a “terrible tragedy” but said that Moscow was not to blame and that there are other explanations for what happened.

The governments of the Netherlands and Australia have said they hold Russia legally responsible.

Asked if she expected the suspects to attend the trial, Silene Fredriksz, whose son Bryce was on the plane with his girlfriend Daisy, said: “No. No, I don’t think so. But I don’t care. I just want the truth, and this is the truth.”

Moscow has said it does not trust the investigation.

“Russia was unable to take part in the investigation despite expressing an interest right from the start and trying to join it”, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters earlier on Wednesday.

The investigation team said Girkin was a former FSB colonel who served as minister of defence of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) in the summer of 2014.

It said Dubinsky was head of the military intelligence agency of DNR, while Pulatov was head of a second department of the DNR military intelligence agency.

Ukrainian national Kharchenko was head of a reconnaissance battalion for the second department, it said.

The team said it would ask the Russian government to allow it to question the suspects who are currently in Russia. It said Kharchenko was thought to be in Ukraine at the moment.

Prosecutors have previously said the missile system that brought down the plane came from the Russian 53rd Anti-Aircraft Brigade, based in the western Russian city of Kursk.

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American Airlines to become first US airline to order new Airbus plane



Airbus A321XLR

Soruce: Airbus

American Airlines will become first U.S. airline to order new Airbus A321XLR, according to a source familiar with details of the agreement.

CNBC has learned American will order 50 XLR jets, converting orders and options previously placed for A321neos into firm order for the A321XLR. The deal will be formally announced later Wednesday at the Paris Air Show.

Airbus has targeted first deliveries of the XLR to start in 2023.

— CNBC’s Meghan Reeder contributed to this report.

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Hopes in China rise for a Trump-Xi trade deal



Chinese President Xi Jinping (L) holds a grand ceremony to welcome U.S. President Donald Trump outside the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China on Nov. 9, 2017.

Lan Hongguang | Xinhua News Agency | Getty Images

BEIJING – As the presidents of U.S. and China near a highly anticipated meeting on trade, the gap in both sides’ expectations regarding a deal remains wide.

Analysts with ties outside China see major obstacles, notably on how both sides can come to terms over the treatment of Chinese telecom giant Huawei. But after a tumultuous few weeks of increased tough talk from Beijing, the calculus of some with ties to the Chinese government is that President Donald Trump is ready to move toward an agreement.

Chinese President Xi Jinping broke his silence on Tuesday with state media announcing he is willing to discuss trade issues with Donald Trump at next week’s G-20 meeting. The reports came less than 20 minutes after Trump tweeted that he “had a very good telephone conversation with President Xi of China” and the two would have an “extended meeting” during the gathering.

“Xi Jinping emphasized, on the issue of trade, that both sides should resolve the problem through fair dialogue; the important thing is to protect the rational concerns of both sides,” state news agency Xinhua reported, according to a CNBC translation of the Chinese-language article. “We also hope the U.S. will fairly treat Chinese enterprises.”

U.S. and Chinese stock indexes jumped, partly in anticipation that the world’s two-largest economies will reach an agreement in the trade dispute that has lasted for over a year.

“The best we can hope for from this meeting is an agreement not to raise tariffs,” Tom Rafferty, principal economist for China at The Economist Intelligence Unit, said in a phone interview Wednesday.

The key will be finding the right language that balances U.S. and Chinese interests, he said. “The risk of this falling apart and the U.S. proceeding with tariffs is quite high.”

Warding off additional tariffs and cancelling ones applied during the last 18 months have been a priority for Beijing in the trade dispute.

Earlier this month, Trump threatened tariffs on an additional $300 billion Chinese goods if Xi didn’t attend the G-20 meeting. 

The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative began Monday a planned seven days of public hearings on proposed tariffs on $300 billion worth of Chinese goods. U.S. companies said at Monday’s hearing that China still offers better infrastructure and local talent than other countries, leaving few alternatives for producing clothes, electronics and other consumer goods, according to Reuters. 

If Trump doesn’t reach a deal at the G-20, he will need to add tariffs to these $300 billion, said Liang Ming, director of the Institute of International Trade, a research unit under the Ministry of Commerce.

Trump needs to respond to businesses’ complaints and increase his popularity in the near-term by reaching a deal, Liang said in Mandarin, according to a CNBC translation. “Other measures won’t have as great a boost.” Trump on Tuesday officially launched his campaign to be re-elected as president next year.

Wei Jianguo, a former vice minister at the Ministry of Commerce, also emphasized Trump’s need to boost his popularity among voters in an interview with CNBC Wednesday afternoon.

Three things have changed since trade talks took a turn for the worse in early May, he said, according to a CNBC translation of his Mandarin-language remarks. Wei is now vice chairman and deputy executive officer at Beijing-based think tank China Center for International Economic Exchanges.

“First, from early May to now, the U.S. has seen China isn’t that easy to defeat. China is not like other countries,” Wei said. Second, he noted that Americans from farmers to business people and consumers all oppose tariffs and Trump is lagging behind Joe Biden in the polls.

Third, Wei said Trump has yet to achieve major presidential campaign promises such as bringing manufacturing back to the U.S.

All this leads Wei to believe that Trump and Xi will agree to further talks on trade and wrap up a deal by the end of the year — one which essentially includes the U.S. changing its position on Huawei.

The Trump administration put Huawei on an “entity list” that effectively bans U.S. companies from selling to the telecom and smartphone company. China responded with the threat of an “unreliable entities list” but has yet to provide details. Huawei has said many times it does not want to be part of a trade deal.

“Huawei is the most critical watchpoint. Further trade negotiations are likely impossible unless China sees some potential lifeline for Huawei,” Michael Hirson, practice head, China and Northeast Asia, at Eurasia Group, said in a note released Wednesday morning Beijing time. “It is certainly possible that Trump will offer this, but it is complicated politically for both sides.”

“Trump will face bipartisan backlash in Congress if he attempts to fully roll back the current restrictions on Huawei, and will thus be under more pressure to show the trade deal is resolving difficult issues related to Beijing’s innovation policies, such as market access restrictions for U.S. firms and subsidies to domestic companies,” Hirson said.

He expects Trump and Xi will most likely agree to an extension of trade talks, potentially for 60 days.

That’s similar to what happened the last time both leaders met on the sidelines of the G-20 meeting in Argentina late last year. Then, the communication from both sides to their domestic audiences varied in the terms of what was discussed.

This time, it’s clearer that Beijing wants it to be seen that the U.S. is bending.

“(I) highly doubt a deal comes out of this meeting,” Jacob Shapiro, director of analysis at online publication Geopolitical Futures, said in an email. “(I) think both Xi and Trump still need to milk ‘looking tough’ to their domestic constituencies before either one of them is in a position to make compromises necessary for a deal.”

—CNBC’s Arjun Kharpal contributed to this report.

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