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The most interesting parts from 448 pages

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By Adam Edelman

Special counsel Robert Mueller’s 448-page report on Russian meddling in the 2016 presidential election and the Trump campaign was made public Thursday morning.

It sheds light on the Russian government’s attempts to boost then-candidate Donald Trump, on whether Trump as president later tried to obstruct Mueller’s investigation, and on the legal thinking behind some of Mueller’s decisions during the investigation.

Here are some of the most interesting passages from the report.

“I’M F—ED”: TRUMP FELT MUELLER APPOINTMENT WOULD BE “END OF MY PRESIDENCY”

(Vol. II, p. 78) Trump was furious when he learned that a special counsel had been appointed, saying it was “the worst thing that ever happened to me.”

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Brexit bombshell: Fears Germany ‘will lose economic power’ as expert predicts ‘losses'

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BERLIN companies are fearing a negative impact of Brexit as one expert believes Germany’s capital will “lose economic power”.

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Trump is losing ground in America’s suburbs

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WASHINGTON — For all of the discussion about whether Democrats can win Texas in 2020, or whether they have solid chances to flip Senate seats in Arizona and Georgia, one demographic development has become crystal clear:

President Donald Trump is losing America’s suburbs.

In the six national NBC/Wall Street Journal polls conducted this year, Trump’s job rating has been underwater among suburban residents — with just one exception.

Jan. 2019

  • Urban: 28 percent approve, 69 percent disapprove (-41)
  • Suburban: 46 percent, 53 percent (-7)
  • Rural: 66 percent, 29 percent (+37)

Feb. 2019

  • Urban: 31 percent, 67 percent (-36)
  • Suburban: 49 percent, 50 percent (-1)
  • Rural: 60 percent, 36 percent (+24)

March 2019

  • Urban: 30 percent, 66 percent (-36)
  • Suburban: 44 percent, 52 percent (-8)
  • Rural: 65 percent, 31 percent (+34)

May 2019

  • Urban: 32 percent, 66 percent (-34)
  • Suburban: 52 percent, 46 percent (+6)
  • Rural: 55 percent, 43 percent (+12)

June 2019

  • Urban: 35 percent, 62 percent (-27)
  • Suburban: 45 percent, 53 percent (-8)
  • Rural: 59 percent, 38 percent (+21)

July 2019

  • Urban: 33 percent, 65 percent (-32)
  • Suburban: 47 percent, 50 percent (-3)
  • Rural: 62 percent, 34 percent (+28)

One other set of numbers: Per the 2018 national House exit poll, 51 percent of all voters were suburban residents, and they broke evenly for Democratic and Republican candidates, 49 percent to 49 percent.

And what do Arizona, Georgia and Texas have in common?

They have lots of suburban voters — either outside one major metropolitan area (in the cases of Arizona and Georgia), or outside multiple major cities (regarding Texas).

The question Democratic primary voters need to ponder: Which of their 20-some candidates is best able to win these suburbs?

Data Download: The number of the day is … eight

Eight.

That’s the number of House seats currently in play in Texas — at least.

That comes after the retirements of four Republican House members there and as the party grapples with hemorrhaging support in the suburbs.

GOP divided over gun restrictions

Speaking of Trump’s problem in the suburbs, note how GOP senators from rural states have reacted to “red flag” laws on gun purchases:

Sen. John Barrasso, R-Wyo.: “I have a lot of concerns about the due-process component.”

Sen. Steve Daines, R-Mont.: “Knee-jerk reactions and more gun laws are not the solution.”

Versus to how GOP senators from big states have reacted:

Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla.: “[W]e must not allow people who threaten harm to themselves or others to have guns.”

Sen. Pat Toomey, R-Pa.: “My focus is on keeping guns out of the hands of people who should not have guns.”

We’re doubtful of Congress’ ability to pass any new gun laws – the tried-and-true playbook is simply to wait out coverage of a shooting tragedy.

Still, this GOP divide is something to watch.

2020 Vision: Harris says it’s time to build a new house on health care

On “Meet the Press,” here was Kamala Harris talking health care:

Chuck Todd: “You want to do a new system and over a 10-year period.”

Harris: “Yes.:”

Todd: “There’re a lot of people who’ve said, ‘We’re in the middle of still trying to build the last system. The last system hasn’t been fully implemented. Medicaid is not in all 50 states.’ Why do a new system before you find out if this one doesn’t — this one won’t work?”

Harris: “What President Obama accomplished was historic. Many presidents before him attempted to reform America’s health care system and failed. He accomplished it with the Affordable Care Act. He has also said — he has used a term “starter house.” That it was a good beginning.”

[snip]

Todd: “Well, there’s building on and there’s buying a new house. And I say this if we’re going to use the house analogy. I guess the question is, is your plan …”

Harris: “As your family grows, you probably need a bigger house.”

On the campaign trail today

Kamala Harris stumps in Iowa, hitting Burlington, Muscatine and Davenport… Bernie Sanders holds town halls in Wolfeboro and North Conway, N.H… And Cory Booker raises money in New York.

Dispatches from NBC’s embeds

Many candidates finished their Iowa swings at the state fair over the past weekend, and NBC’s Julia Jester, Micki Fahner and Priscilla Thompson report the fun day Sen. Michael Bennet had.

“He ordered a corn dog, played a game of bumper cars, and rode a face down flying ride. He stopped by the state Democratic Party booth where, notably, Bennet was not included on the caricature poster of 20 candidates they’ve been signing. He later flipped pork chops with his daughter and the Iowa Pork Queen.”

In Orient, Iowa, Sen. Bernie Sanders was asked about the media’s coverage of him in a town hall. NBC’s Gary Grumbach reports what Sanders said he was concerned about, “What we have to be concerned about in terms of media is you have a small number of very, very large corporate interests who control a lot of what the people in this country see hear and read. They have their agenda. So what we are trying to do in our campaign is and I hope people to go our social media we have an active social media.”

Tweet of the Day

The Lid: The state of play in Iowa

Don’t miss the pod from Friday, when we looked at the state of play in Iowa with six months to go.

ICYMI: News clips you shouldn’t miss

Evangelical are chafing at Trump’s use of profanity.

The New York City medical examiner’s office says it needs more information after an autopsy of Jeffrey Epstein’s body.

Dems are ripping Trump for repeating conspiracy theories about Epstein’s death.

The New York Times dives into how the language of “invasion” and a “flood” of immigrants got so ubiquitous in conservative media.

And Democratic strategist Jesse Ferguson examines the persuasion vs. turnout debate.

Trump Agenda: The R-word

The president, who’s always been conscious of his brand, is vexed that the label of “racism” has become attached to it.

The Washington Post looks at how Americans are struggling to talk about guns and race.

2020: Warren turns heads in Iowa

The AP reports on Elizabeth Warren’s successful Iowa swing.

The House Democrats to watch in 2020 aren’t just the “squad” — it’s moderates fighting for re-election.

Beto O’Rourke says that Trump’s El Paso visit shows that he’s “sick” and “unfit for the presidency.”

Pete Buttigieg is continuing to staff up.

In a New York Times op-ed, Joe Biden writes that “banning assault weapons works.”

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Even amid ‘trying times,’ Latinos are nation’s growth engine, Nielsen report finds

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Unprecedented issues impacting Latino communities in the United States have risen over the last several years — from political turmoil and sluggish hurricane recovery efforts in Puerto Rico to a mass shooting in El Paso targeting Mexican-Americans and Mexicans and immigration issues such as massive ICE raids, the Trump administration’s attempt to end DACA and family separations at the Southern border.

“Our communities are going through some very trying times,” Stacie de Armas, vice president of strategic initiatives and consumer engagement at Nielsen, told NBC News.

Top data firm Nielsen found that U.S. Latinos have been able to harness their growing economic, social and political clout amid tough times, according to a new report obtained by NBC News.

De Armas hopes the findings, which will be publicly released on Monday, serve as a contemporary roadmap for companies, educators, policymakers, business people and others seeking to understand Latino consumers’ purchasing habits in order to effectively serve the needs of a population that accounts for nearly a fifth of the nation’s population.

“We’re seeing a demographic revolution that is fundamentally changing the history of the U.S.,” said de Armas. “We are the future and the growth engine of this country.”

In the report, Nielsen uses the term Latinx as a gender-neutral, inclusive alternative to “Latino.”

“The decision is a nod toward greater inclusion of women, LGBTQ+ and nonbinary Hispanics and the popularity of the term in social media and academic writing,” Nielsen said.

Economic growth by the numbers

The Latinx population’s purchasing power is expected to top $1.9 trillion by 2023, which is higher than the gross domestic product of countries such as Australia, Spain and Mexico, according to Nielsen.

The growth comes at a time when Latinx consumers, who are part of the nation’s youngest minority group with a median age of 28 — compared to 38 in the general population —quickly approach their peak earning years — accounting for 75 percent of all U.S. labor force growth over the last 6 years.

About 60 million Hispanics are living in the U.S. and Census projects that the nation’s Latinx population will increase to 109 million in the next 40 years.

Latinx political awakening, a rise in voters

Latinx voter turnout reached 11.7 million in 2018, up from 6.8 million in 2014, the single largest increase on record from one midterm election to another, according to the report.

Nielsen, which is a 2020 Census Official Partner working to ensure an accurate Census count, found that immigration issues as well as health care and the possible inclusion of a citizenship question in the 2020 Census have motivated many young Latinos to become registered voters.

“The civic implications of an inaccurate count are well known. However, a census count that doesn’t adequately represent Latinx consumers — one of the primary future growth engines for the U.S. — impacts businesses,” said Lillian Rodríguez López, co-chair of Nielsen’s Hispanic and Latinx Advisory Council, in a statement.

Census measurements are the foundation for $90 billion in advertising transactions and also informs decision-making processes across the nation’s biggest retailers that cost over $1 trillion, added Rodríguez López.

“Every business in America makes decisions based on Census,” said de Armas. “This is important because we pride ourselves [Nielsen] in siding with the truth.”

In 2014, 18 percent of Hispanics (27 percent of those eligible) voted in the midterm election, in comparison to 39 percent of the total population. In the 2018 elections, 29 percent of Hispanics (40 percent of those eligible) voted versus 49 percent of the total population.

“We often hear that Latinos don’t show up,” said de Armas. “The challenge we’ve had is not ‘showing up.’ Registration is the challenge, because once we are registered, we show up.”

The largest increase was among voters ages 18 to 24. In 2014, 10 percent of this age group voted in elections. That percentage more than doubled in 2018, reaching 23 percent.



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